BT today launched a consultation with industry to determine if demand exists for future-proofed Full Fibre (FTTP). It seems that BT has observed that OPEX savings (and service reliability) might be of value.
The very gradual reorientation of BT’s strategy away from copper dependence (asset utilisation) toward investment in a digital future has marked three decades of wasted opportunities for the entire economy.
The established strategy rested on three false assumptions.
- Firstly, fibre was characterised as being inordinately expensive – but, three decades on, the early estimates (so deeply embedded in media minds) are now shown to be grossly over-estimated and (many suspected decades ago) politically and commercially ‘convenient’.
- Secondly, doubts were raised: ‘Who needs this stuff? The naysayers within BT could see only trouble ahead and not the opportunities to build exciting new enterprise.
- Thirdly, the hope that technological development would extend the useful life of copper – very clever but alas nowhere near as life-saving as needed.
Even now the half-way house of asymmetric FTTC connectivity cul-de-sacs will still be lauded as worthwhile – as if universal mediocrity is valued more than increasing flashes of brilliance.
The country may rejoice at the (carefully managed) repentance of a sinner and, sadly, folks at large will soon forget the cost of delay, but BT may never recover from its loss of design credibility. Indeed, some Local Authority Planners may now (at last) have come to realise that the company was privatised back in the 1980s and is no longer required to serve the nation.
Fortunately new forces have arrived (albeit late) to deliver what was disbarred in the early 1990s – such was the lack of imagination.
One wonders how long this BT consultation will last before conclusions are reached?
Huge ships need time and a lot of space to turn around.
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